Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 190600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 19/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONGWE) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.9S / 77.2E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXIST UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT NEAR THE CENTER NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/19 AT 18 UTC: 10.9S / 77.1E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/11/20 AT 06 UTC: 11.9S / 76.0E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: GALE WINDS ARE GENERATED BY THIS SYSTEM SO IT HAS BEEN NAMED "BONGWE" AT 06 TU BY THE MAURITIUS METEOROLOGICAL OFFICE. CENTER POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED EASTWARDS WITH LAST SATELLITE DATA. GUIDANCE HAS BEEN ADJUSTED EQUATORWARDS BUT PHILOSOPHY REMAINS UNCHANGED. "BONGWE" SHOULD TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS AT DAY 1 THEN WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS AT DAY 2. THIS SYSTEM EXIST IN AN ENVIRONMENT QUITE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION.