Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 221200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/11/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 22/11/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 3 (BONGWE) 980 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.0S / 69.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STORM FORCE WINDS 50/55KT AND HIGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE EXTENDING UP TO 40 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 45 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/23 AT 00 UTC: 14.1S / 68.8E, MAX WIND = 45 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/11/23 AT 12 UTC: 14.2S / 67.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "BONGWE" HAS NEARLLY STALLED SINCE THAT NIGHT. INTENSITY SHOULD NOT REACHED TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HEURES AND STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER WITH BAD ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS. "BONGWE" SHOULD SOON TRACK SLOWLY WESTWARDS. TOMORROW EVENING, A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO TURN MORE SOUTHWESTWARDS.