Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 240600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 24/3 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 24/11/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-BONGWE) 1000 HPA POSITION: 12.7S / 66.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTH-WEST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/11/24 AT 18 UTC: 12.7S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/11/25 AT 06 UTC: 13.3S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL WELL DEFINED AND TOTALLY EXPOSED, SHOWING THE CENTER NORTH OF THUNDERSTORM MOST ACTIVE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-INTESIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM, WHICH SHOULD CURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS AND SLOWLY FILL UP, AND MAINTAIN HUMIDITY, WARM AIR AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER ITS TRACK, UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION. STRONGER WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.