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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 241200 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/11/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 025/03 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 24/11/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 3 (EX-BONGWE) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.9S / 65.5E
(TWELVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS LOCALLY SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT NEAR THE CENTER, REACHING VERY LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE UP TO 50 NM FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/11/25 AT 00 UTC:
12.9S / 64.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, FILLING UP.
24H, VALID 2007/11/25 AT 12 UTC:
13.2S / 62.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, FILLING UP.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CORRECTION FOR THE LOCATION AND SPEED MOTION.

THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS STILL WELL DEFINED AND TOTALLY EXPOSED, LOCATED NORTH OF BURSTS OF NO PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR RE-INTESIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM, WHICH SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS AND SLOWLY FILL UP, REMAINING ASSOCIATED TO BAD WEATHER, WARM AN HUMID EXTENDING UP TO MORE THAN 200NM FROM THE LLCC.
STRONGER WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.

THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ISSUED ABOUT THIS SYSTEM UNLESS RE-INTENSIFICATION.