Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 130600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/12/2007 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 13/12/2007 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (0420072008) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.6S / 68.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM AROUND THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCCALY UP TO 330 NM IN SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/13 AT 18 UTC: 14.8S / 68.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/12/14 AT 06 UTC: 15.0S / 68.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS STILL BADLY DEFINED AND ELONGATED GLOBALLY, THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST-STATIONNARY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR A CLEAR INTENSIFICATION. THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK SLOWLY GLOBALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT LIGHTLY INTENSIFIES AND THEN IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE MORE WESTWARDS ACCELERATING.