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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 140600
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 14/12/2007 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 008/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 14/12/2007 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (0420072008) 999 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.0S / 69.6E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/12/14 AT 18 UTC:
14.3S / 69.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2007/12/15 AT 06 UTC:
14.6S / 68.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM REMAINS ALMOST-STATIONNARY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR A CLEAR INTENSIFICATION.
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW EXPOSED (LOCATED EAST OF ACTIVE DEEP CONVECTION), WHAT SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM IS NOT ACTUALLY INTENSIFYING. NEVERTHELESS, IT HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAGE DUE TO A BETTER LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.

THE SYSTEM SHOULD HAVE A MORE PRONONCED SOUTHWESTWARDS MOTION TOMORROW.