Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 151800 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 15/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 4 (0420072008) 999 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.0S / 66.9E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS UP TO 230 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/16 AT 06 UTC: 16.6S / 65.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2007/12/16 AT 18 UTC: 17.4S / 64.2E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM KEEPS ON UNDERGOING A RATHER NORTHEASTERLY UPPER LEVEL WIND AND THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS SOUTHWESTWARDS AWAY, WHAT PREVENT IT FROM INTENSIFYING. SYSTEM HAS BEEN TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDSAT A RATHER REGULAR SPEED FROM 24 HOURS AROUND. ASSOCIATED WINDS HAVE LIGHTLY WEAKENED, EXTENDING LESS FAR FROM THE CENTER, BUT ASSOCIATED THUNDERY ACTIVITY REMAINS IMPORTANT. IT SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING THAT WAY, AND COULD TEMPORARILY ENCOUNTER LESS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. NEVERTHELESS, IF IT INTENSIFIES, IT SHOULD NOT REACH MORE THAN MODERATE TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY (MAINLY DUE TO TOO COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE).