Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 171800 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 17/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4 (CELINA) 993 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.3S / 60.7E (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 230 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/18 AT 06 UTC: 21.1S / 59.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2007/12/18 AT 18 UTC: 21.8S / 57.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS SLOW DOWN. CELINA IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN RECURVING WESTWARDS THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS UNDERGOING THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. SYSTEM HAS PROBABLY REACHED ITS MAXIMUM INTENSITY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTING TO BE LESS FAVOURABLE WITH A WEAK POLAR INFLOW LINKED TO THE SHIFTING TROUGH IN ITS SOUTH AND A BAD ENERGETIC POTENTIAL ON COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.