Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 191200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 029/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-CELINA) 998 HPA POSITION: 22.3S / 57.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM FROM THE CENTRE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/20 AT 00 UTC: 22.7S / 56.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/12/20 AT 12 UTC: 22.1S / 55.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS CURVING WESTWARDS, AND SHOULD CURVE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS DUE TO THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, AND COME CLOSER TO REUNION ISLAND. SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCALLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.