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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 191800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 030/04 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/12/2007 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 4 (EX-CELINA) 999 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.5S / 57.3E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEAST SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/12/20 AT 06 UTC:
22.6S / 56.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2007/12/20 AT 18 UTC:
22.3S / 54.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE WEAK INTESITY SYSTEM IS TRACKING ROUND REUNION ISLAND TO THE SOUTH.
IT HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS SINCE THIS MORNING, AND IT SHOULD CURVE MORE WESTWARDS, THEN NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
IT SHOULD KEEP AN INTENSITY CLOSE TO ITS ACTUAL STAGE DURING THE NEXT DAYS.
STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.