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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 181200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/05 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 18/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 5 999 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 84.4E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WIRHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2007/12/19 AT 00 UTC:
14.1S / 83.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2007/12/19 AT 12 UTC:
14.9S / 83.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEM EXISTS WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION.

IT SHOULD REMAIN ON THE EASTERN PART OF THE BASIN, AND TRACK GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS AS IT INTENSIFIES.