Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 301200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 30/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 6 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4S / 41.4E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 180 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/31 AT 00 UTC: 18.1S / 41.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2007/12/31 AT 12 UTC: 19.0S / 42.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM HAS CONSOLIDATED WITHIN THE LAST 12 HOURS. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVOURABLE FOR IT TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXEPECTED TO STAY QUASI-STATIONNARY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES TOWARDS A STROUGH SHIFTING IN ITS SOUTHWEST. AT THIS STAGE, SYSTEM INTENSITY DOESN'T JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.