Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 310000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2007 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 31/12/2007 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3S / 42.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 180 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT, LOCALLY 30 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2007/12/31 AT 12 UTC: 18.8S / 42.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/01/01 AT 00 UTC: 19.2S / 41.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: SYSTEM IS BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN A STILL FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. IT SHOULD HAVE A SLOW SOUTHERLY MOTION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS BEFORE ACCELERATING A LITTLE BIT AFTERWARDS. IT COULD REACH TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.