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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO24 FMEE 311200 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 004/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 31/12/2007 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 997 HPA
POSITION: 18.1S / 41.1E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: NORTH-WEST 2 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS, REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/01 AT 00 UTC:
18.0S / 41.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/01/01 AT 12 UTC:
18.4S / 41.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CORRECTIVE FOR THE MINIMAL PRESSURE.

NO SIGNIFICANT EVOLUTION DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS.

THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAKE SLOWLY A SMALL LOOP, BEFORE STARTING TO TRACK CLEARLY SOUTHWARDS AND INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY DUE TO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (WARM SST OF 29 TO 30 CELSIUS DEGREES, GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOWS AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOWS).