Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 010000 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 01/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ELNUS) 995 HPA POSITION: 19.1S / 41.0E (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 4 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/01 AT 12 UTC: 19.6S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/01/02 AT 00 UTC: 20.3S / 40.5E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE LAST HOURS AND HAVE REACHED THE NAME STAGE. ELNUS TRACKS SLOWLY SOUTHWARDS. IT SHOULD KEEP ON GENERALLY TRACKING SOUTHWARDS AND REGULARLY INTENSIFY THANKS TO A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (WARM SST OF 29 TO 30 CELSIUS DEGREES, GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOWS AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOWS). WINDS EXTENSION ARE MEASURED ACCORDING TO SATELLITE DATA. STRONGER WINDS EXTENDS FURTHER IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. HAPPY NEW YEAR.