Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 010600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 01/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 01/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ELNUS) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.9S / 40.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 260 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN QUADRANTS AND UP TO 130 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/01 AT 18 UTC: 19.6S / 40.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/01/02 AT 06 UTC: 20.5S / 40.4E, MAX WIND = 60 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: ELNUS REMAINS QUASI-STATIONNARY WITHIN THE LAST 6 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TRACKING PROGRESSIVELY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A WEAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT AND REGULARLY INTENSIFY THANKS TO A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT (WARM SST OF 29 TO 30 CELSIUS DEGREES, GOOD LOW LEVEL INFLOWS AND UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOWS). STRONGER WINDS EXTENDS FURTHER IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. BEST WISHES AND HAPPY NEW YEAR.