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WTIO24 FMEE 020000
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 010/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 02/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ELNUS) 994 HPA
POSITION: 19.9S / 39.9E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND THIRTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: STATIONARY 0 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS EXTENDS UP TO 250 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM OF THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHEASTERN QUADRANTS AND UP TO 120 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/02 AT 12 UTC:
20.5S / 39.8E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/01/03 AT 00 UTC:
21.4S / 39.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HASN'T MOVED DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. THUNDERSTORM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS PUUSHED AWAY BY AN IMPORTANT NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN HIGH LEVEL.

ELNUS IS EXPECTED TO CURVE SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS A WEAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT.
STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FURTHER IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.