Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 030000 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 03/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 (EX-ELNUS) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S / 40.4E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 260 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND ALSO BETWEEN 140 NM AND 320 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT EN UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT, AND LOCALLY REACHING GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UP TO 30 NM OF THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/03 AT 12 UTC: 22.5S / 40.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/01/04 AT 00 UTC: 23.4S / 40.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS PUSHED AWAY SOUTHEASTWARDS BY AN IMPORTANT NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN HIGH LEVEL. THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ALSO IN A PERIPHERAL CONVECTIVE BAND FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN SECTOR. ELNUS IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING GLOBALLY SOUTHWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS TOWARDS A WEAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES BELT THEN ON RECURVING EASTWARDS UNDERGOING A RIDGE REBUILDING IN ITS SOUTHWEST. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FURTHER IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.