Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 031200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 016/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 03/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 (EX-ELNUS) 999 HPA POSITION: 23.2S / 41.6E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND ALSO BETWEEN 175 NM AND 350 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30/35 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/04 AT 00 UTC: 23.7S / 42.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/01/04 AT 12 UTC: 24.1S / 42.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS SOUTHWARDS AWAY FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO A RATHER STRONG NORTHERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN UPPER LEVEL AND EXIST ALSO IN A PERIPHERIC CONVECTIVE BAND FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FURTHER IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.