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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO24 FMEE 040000
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 018/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 04/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6 (EX-ELNUS) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.8S / 43.0E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/04 AT 12 UTC:
27.8S / 44.6E, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2008/01/05 AT 00 UTC:
29.5S / 47.0E, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THUNDERY ACTIVITY IS SOUTHWARDS AWAY FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO A RATHER STRONG NORTHERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IN UPPER LEVEL.
STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FURTHER IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
THE SYSTEM HAS CLEARLY ACCELERATED , AND SEEMS TO TRACKS QUICKLY TOWARDS THE THROUGH, BECOMING EXTRA-TROPICAL