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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO24 FMEE 041200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 020/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 04/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 (EX-ELNUS) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.3S / 42.6E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR.

STRONGER WINDS, 25 KT LOC 30KT, ARE LOCATED AT A BOUT 70 NM OF THE CENTER (IN AVERAGE) AND MOSTLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. WINDS ARE LIGHTER NEAR THE CENTER AT AROUND 15/20 KT. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH (LOCALLY) SEAS UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/05 AT 00 UTC:
26.6S / 42.9E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2008/01/05 AT 12 UTC:
27.3S / 44.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM HAS BEGUN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT STRONGER WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. THIS WINDS COULD BRUSHED THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS AS THE LOW WILL HAVE ITS CLOSEST POINT APPROCH OF THE SOUTHERN COAST