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WTIO24 FMEE 041800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 021/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 04/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 6 (EX-ELNUS) 1000 HPA
POSITION: 26.8S / 42.8E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 6 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 500 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR.

STRONGER WINDS, 25 KT LOC 30KT, ARE LOCATED AT A BOUT 70 NM OF THE CENTER (ON AVERAGE) AND MANLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. WINDS ARE LIGHTER NEAR THE CENTER AT AROUND 15/20 KT. ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH (LOCALLY) SEAS UP TO 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/05 AT 06 UTC:
27.5S / 44.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
24H, VALID 2008/01/05 AT 18 UTC:
28.2S / 45.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM HAS BEGUN AN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. SYNOPTIC DATA SUGGEST THAT STRONGER WINDS ARE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. THESE WINDS COULD BRUSHED THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MADAGASCAR WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS AS THE LOW WILL TRACK AT ITS CLOSEST POINTS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST