Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 250600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 005/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 25/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1002 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S / 44.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/25 AT 18 UTC: 14.2S / 44.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/01/26 AT 06 UTC: 14.4S / 43.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM BARELY ORGANIZES ALTHOUGH A CURVED BAND HAS FORMED IN THE LATEST HOURS IN THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE . THE SYSTEM IS NOW QUASI-STATIONNARY. IT SHOULD RETAKE A SLOW WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE RECURVING SOUTHWARDS AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING.