Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
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WTIO24 FMEE 271800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 27/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 8 (EX-FAME) POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.1S / 44.4E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 7 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. STROM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS UP TO 15 NM ALONG NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 16.5S AND 17.3S. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS UP TO 25 NM ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 16.4S AND 17.6S. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 40 NM ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE BETWEEN 16.2S AND 18.1S. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/28 AT 06 UTC: 19.2S / 45.6E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2008/01/28 AT 18 UTC: 20.4S / 47.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: FAME HAS TEMPORARY REACHED TROPICAL CYCLONE MINIMAL STAGE BEFORE ITS LANDFALL AT ABOUT 1300Z NEAR BESALAMPY. IT IS NOW EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN WITHIN ITS TRIP OVER MALAGASY DUE TO ITS SMALL SIZE. THE RESIDUAL LOW COULD GO BACK OVER SEA WITHIN 36 HOURS ON THE EASTERN MALAGASY COASTLINE NEAR FARAFANGANA. IT COULD SO REACH AGAIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAGE.