Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 290600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 29/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 017/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 29/01/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 (EX-FAME) 1000 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.6S / 51.2E (NINETEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/01/29 AT 18 UTC: 20.1S / 51.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/01/30 AT 06 UTC: 20.6S / 52.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: EX-FAME HAS CAME BACK OVER SEAS AND THE RESIDUAL CIRCULATION IS LIGHTLY RE-ORGANIZING, AT A WEAK INTENSITY. THE CENTER OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS TRACKING EASTWARDS. IT SHOULD CURVE SOUTHEASTWARDS AND SLOW DOWN, REACHING TEMPORARILLY THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION INTENSITY. THEN IT SHOULD BEEN CATCHED IN THE CIRCULATION OF GULA, WICH SHOULD ABSORBE IT WITHIN THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS.