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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 301200
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 022/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 30/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-FAME) 997 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.4S / 53.1E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 7 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 350 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WHITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/31 AT 00 UTC:
21.8S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2008/01/31 AT 12 UTC:
21.8S / 54.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-FAME IS EXPECTED SHIFTING GLOBALLY ON ITS SLOW EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE ACCELERATING SOUTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS A TROUGH GENERATED IN THE WAKE OF GULA, WHERE IT IS EXPECTED DISSIPATING.
AFTER TAKING BENEFITS OF A BETTER ENVIRONMENT WITHIN THE END OF THE NIGHT, ACTUAL CONDITIONS ARE UNFAVOURABLE AGAIN.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEUTRAL (SOMETIMES MORE FAVOURABLE, SOME TIMES UNFAVOURABLE) WITHIN THE ALL RANGES OF THIS FORECAST, SO EX-FAME IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY.