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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO22 FMEE 311800 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 027/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 31/01/2008 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 (EX-FAME) 999 HPA
POSITION: 21.5S / 52.5E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: NORTH-EAST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO MORE THAN 600 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTORS.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WHITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 180 MN IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/01 AT 06 UTC:
22.4S / 55.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2008/02/01 AT 18 UTC:
25.5S / 57.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, DISSIPATING.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
LOCATION HAS TO BE CONFIRMED WITH

THE CIRCULATION IS ASYMETRIC DUE TO THE GRADIANT WHITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDING TO THE SOUTH-WEST, WHAT EXPLAIN THE NEAR GALE WINDS FAR IN THE SOUTH.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXISTS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO AN IMPORTANT NORTHWESTWARDS CONSTRAINT.

THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EX-FAME HAS STARTED TO MAKE A LOOP TOWARDS THE TROPICAL STORM GULA, WHICH IS TRACKING QUIKCLY SOUTHWARDS.
EX-FAME SHOULD FOLLOW GULA , EVACUATING SOUTHWARDS, AND THEN DISSIPATE IN THE TROUGH OF GULA.