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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47


WTIO20 FMEE 300000
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 015/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 30/01/2008 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 9 (GULA) 960 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.0S / 60.5E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/75 KT AND HIGH SEAS TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/30 AT 12 UTC:
16.8S / 59.8E, MAX WIND = 75 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
24H, VALID 2008/01/31 AT 00 UTC:
19.5S / 58.8E, MAX WIND = 85 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GULA HAS WEAKENED DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS (LIKELY DUE TO COOLER SSTS INDUCED BY THE ALMOST-STATIONARY MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM). IT SHOULD CURVE SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARDS BEYOND THE NEXT 6 HOURS AND GRADUALLY SPEED UP. IT SHOULD THEN REINTENSIFY WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT.