Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 040600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 001/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 04/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 999 HPA POSITION: 12.3S / 80.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 160NM AROUND THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/04 AT 18 UTC: 12.2S / 80.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/02/05 AT 06 UTC: 12.4S / 81.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SMALL AND WELL DEFINED, EXISTING SINCE ALMOST 48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS VERY RECENT, ONLY DEVELOPPED SINCE LAST NIGHT, AND IS THEN NON CONSOLIDATED AND ORGANIZED. A BUOY LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER INDICATES A WEAKENING SLP OF THIS BORNING LOW (-4HPA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS). IT IS FORECASTED TO REGULARY INTENSIFY AND TRACK SLOWLY EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS. A CE STADE, CE SYSTEME NE JUSTIFIE PAS L'EMISSION DE BULLETINS REGULIERS.