Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 041200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 04/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 002/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 04/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.6S / 80.1E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 160NM AROUND THE CENTER. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT NEAR THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/05 AT 00 UTC: 12.4S / 80.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/02/05 AT 12 UTC: 12.5S / 80.9E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SMALL AND WELL DEFINED, EXISTING SINCE ALMOST 48 HOURS. ASSOCIATED THUNDERSTORM CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS RECENT, ONLY DEVELOPPED SINCE LAST NIGHT. IT IS STILL POORLY ORGANIZED AND NON CONSOLIDATED, BUT IT HAS NEVERTHELESS PERSISTED DURING THIS DAY AND RESISTED TO THE DIURNAL CYCLE (LOWER CONVECTIVE IS USUAL DURING THE DAY OVER SEAS). A BUOY LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER INDICATES A WEAKENING SLP OF ALMOST -4HPA DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS, WHAT SHOWS AN INTENSIFICATION AND APPROACHING MOVMENT OF THE LOW. IT IS FORECASTED TO REGULARY INTENSIFY AND TRACK SLOWLY EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS BEYOND THE NEXT 24 HOURS.