Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 050000 CCA *************** CORRECTIVE ************** SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 004/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 05/02/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10 997 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.4S / 80.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100NM AROUND THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 27/30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 90NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/05 AT 12 UTC: 13.6S / 80.4E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/02/06 AT 00 UTC: 13.7S / 80.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: BASED ON THIS IMPROVMENT ON OVERALL CONFIGURATION SEEN ON MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND PREVIOUS SCAT PASS THAT SHOWS UNFLAGGED 30 KT WINDS, SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS WITH 30 KT MAX WINDS. ENVIRONMENTALS CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE AND GALE FORCE WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NWP MODELS FROM 12Z HAS NOT SHIFT THEIR SOLUTION. SO THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO HAVE AN UNUSUAL EASTSOUTHEAST SLOW TRACK UNDER THE STEERING FLOW OF A MID LEVEL EQUATORIAL RIDGE THAT IS EXTENDED ALONG THE WHOLE BASIN (CF ECMWF CHARTS AT 700 HPA AND 500 HPA LEVEL).