Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 051200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 05/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 006/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 05/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (HONDO) 975 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.7S / 80.9E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 110 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 240 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT WITHIN A PERIPHERAL BAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER STORM FORCE WINDS AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 110 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 170 NM IN SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/06 AT 00 UTC: 13.7S / 81.3E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2008/02/06 AT 12 UTC: 13.8S / 81.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: "HONDO" IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM AND UNDERGOING FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS , HAS INTENSIFYED VERY QUICKLY DURING LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING. IT HAS REACHED MINIMAL STAGE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING VERY SLOWLY GLOBALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND THEN SLIGHTLY ACCELERATING ON THIS TRACK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED REMAINING FAVOURABLE WITHIN THE ALL RANGES OF THIS FORECAST , SO "HONDO" SHOULD KEEP ON GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING. HOWEVER, ITS SLOW TRACK COULD LIMIT THE ENERGETIC OCEANIC POTENTIAL AND IN CONSEQUENCE ITS INTENSIFICATION, THIS SCENARIO IS NOT FORECASTED AT THIS TIME LINKED TO ITS SMALL SIZE AND SO THE LIMITED OCEANIC MIXED AREA. WINDS EXTENSION HAS BEEN RECALIBRED THANKS TO LAST AVAILABLE SCATTEROMETRY DATAS. MSLP IS HIGHER THAN USUAL LINKED TO THE SMALL SIZE OF THE SYSTEM.