Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO20 FMEE 060600 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 009/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 06/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (HONDO) 965 HPA POSITION: 14.1S / 81.3E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-EAST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 160 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/70 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHWESTREN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/06 AT 18 UTC: 14.2S / 81.7E, MAX WIND = 75 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2008/02/07 AT 06 UTC: 14.4S / 82.3E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM IS GOING ON ACHIEVING AN EYE CYCLE (CF TMI AND SSMI DATA OF 0046 AND 0059UTC) AFTER A STOP, INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO RESTART IN THE NEXT HOURS. HONDO IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY EAST TO SOUTHEASTWARDS, UNDERGOING A COMPETING STEERING FLOWS (UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AT 700 AND 500 HPA IN THE NORTH AND SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESURES IN ITS SOUTHWEST), THEN MORE RAPIDLY TOWARDS A WEAKENESS INTO THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN GLOBALLY FAVORABLE (WINDSHEAR IS WEAK UNDER THE HIGH LEVEL RIDGE , UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD AND LOW LEVEL EQUATORWARD INFLOW IS SUSTAINED BY A WELL ESTABLISHED MONSOON FLOW).