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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
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WTIO20 FMEE 071200
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 014/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 10 (HONDO) 915 HPA
POSITION: 15.0S / 82.7E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: SOUTH-SOUTH-EAST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/115 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
STORM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDAING UP TO 40 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 90 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 140 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/08 AT 00 UTC:
15.2S / 82.8E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL..
24H, VALID 2008/02/08 AT 12 UTC:
15.5S / 83.1E, MAX WIND = 90 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL..

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
HONDO KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING AND SHOWS A WELL DEFINED EYE.
HONDO HAS A RATHER SMALL SIZE AND SHOULD QUICKLY REACT TO ANY MODIFICATIONS IN THE ENVIRONMENT.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 NEXT HOURS THEN SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARDS AGAIN AND GRADUALLY WEAKENING.
WEAKENING SHOULD BE STRONGER BEYOND 48 TO 60 HOURS ON COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.