Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 211200 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 37/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 21/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 (EX-HONDO) 1002 HPA POSITION: 18.0S / 59.9E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 2 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXTENDS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FRON THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS, LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHSOUTHSEASTERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/22 AT 00 UTC: 18.4S / 59.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. 24H, VALID 2008/02/22 AT 12 UTC: 19.0S / 58.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE CENTER HAS BEEN RELOCATED MORE EASTWARDS, WITH THE NOAA18 10 UTC. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS RATHER WELL DEFINED. MAIN THUNDERSTROM ACTIVITY IS PRESENT MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE FOR THE MOMENT. THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. IT HAS CLEARLY SLOWNED DOWN, AND SHOULD CURVE SOUTHEASTWARDS TODAY. DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT, STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED TO THIS RESIDUAL VORTEX COULD REACH NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHEATERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ALTOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS WEAK AND IS NOT FORECASTED TO RE-INTENSIFY A LOT, IT SHOULD GENERATE VERY DISTURBED WEATHER OVER MAURITIUS ON THE 22 AND REUNION ISLAND THE 23 (DEGRADATION THE NIGHT BEFORE).