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Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO22 FMEE 221800
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 042/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 22/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 (EX-HONDO) 1000 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.0S / 58.9E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 60 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/23 AT 06 UTC:
20.2S / 57.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H, VALID 2008/02/23 AT 18 UTC:
21.9S / 54.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-HONDO IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.

THIS IS A SMALL SIZE SYSTEM REACTING QUICKLY TO THE ENVIRONMENT. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS NEUTRAL TO NO FAVORABLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN BECOME CLEARLY DEFAVORABLE BEYONG.

STRONGER WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.