Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 240600 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 24/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 048/10 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 24/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 10 (EX-HONDO) 1002 HPA POSITION: 23.5S / 53.4E (TWENTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM AROUND THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND LOCALLY REACHING NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS UP TO 80 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/24 AT 18 UTC: 25.7S / 51.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. 24H, VALID 2008/02/25 AT 06 UTC: 28.5S / 51.1E, MAX WIND = 25 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: STRONGER WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES. THEY ARE ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO 0250 QUIKSCAT DATA. AFTER HAVING TRACKED OVER REUNION ISLAND AND ITS MOUNTAINS, THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS WEAKENED, AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK WITHIN THE NEXT HOURS OVER SEAS WHOSE TEMPERATURES ARE LOWER THAT 26.5 CELSIUS DEGREES, INHIBATING ANY RE-INTESIFICATION (MOREOVER, ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IN LOW AND HIGH LEVELS ARE NEUTRAL TO UNFAVORABLE). IT SHOULD TRACK SOUTHSOUHWESTWARDS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN CURVE OVER A PARABOLIC TRACK AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE EAST, FILLING UP SLOWLY.