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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 070600
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 07/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 997 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.0S / 61.0E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXIST WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 230 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 27/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 55 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT, 100 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND 140 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/07 AT 18 UTC:
13.9S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/02/08 AT 06 UTC:
14.6S / 64.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEM, FORMED SINCE A FEW DAYS IN THE VINCINITY OF AGALEGA, HAS STRENGHEN LAST NIGHT. A QUICKSCAT PASS AT 01:54Z SHOWS UNFLAGED WINDS AT 30 KT AND DVORAK ESTIMATION GIVE CI AT 2.5. SO IT IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS. IT SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTSOUTHEASTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MODERATE TROPICAL STORM STATUS IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY.