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WTIO20 FMEE 080600
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 08/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (IVAN) 984 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.4S / 63.2E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-SOUTH-EAST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXIST WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 65 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 80 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE AND UP TO 100 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/08 AT 18 UTC:
15.8S / 63.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/02/09 AT 06 UTC:
16.5S / 63.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
IVAN SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE GLOBALLY BETWEEN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS AND SOUTHEASTWARDS, THEN SOUTHWARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLOWING DOWN. THEREAFTER THERE IS SOME INCERTITUDE FOR FURTHER EVOLUTION OF THE TRACK. SYSTEM SHOULD KEEP ON INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.