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B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
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WTIO20 FMEE 100600
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 013/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 10/02/2008 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (IVAN) 985 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.9S / 64.4E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT: EAST-NORTH-EAST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXIST WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 85 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNEDR SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/10 AT 18 UTC:
14.8S / 64.6E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.
24H, VALID 2008/02/11 AT 06 UTC:
14.7S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
VERY POOR EVOLUTION IN ITS MOTION AND INTENSITY IS FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THEN IVAN IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE MORE WESTWARDS UNDERGOING THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN ITS SOUTH.