Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 101800 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 10/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 015/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 10/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (IVAN) 985 HPA POSITION: 14.6S / 65.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: EAST-NORTH-EAST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXIST WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP BETWEEN 200 NM AND 400 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT WITHIN A PERIPHERIC BAND. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 15 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 85 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNEDR SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/11 AT 06 UTC: 14.5S / 65.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/02/11 AT 18 UTC: 14.4S / 65.4E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: VERY POOR EVOLUTION IN ITS MOTION AND INTENSITY IS FORECASTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEN IVAN IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE MORE WESTWARDS UNDERGOING THE REBUILDING SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN ITS SOUTH. UNDERGOING FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IT COULD ALSO INTENSIFYING PROGRESSIVELY.