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WTIO20 FMEE 111800
PAN PAN
HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 019/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

HURRICANE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 11/02/2008 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (IVAN) 970 HPA
POSITION: 14.2S / 64.9E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50/65 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 130 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNEDR SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/02/12 AT 06 UTC:
14.0S / 64.8E, MAX WIND = 70 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.
24H, VALID 2008/02/12 AT 18 UTC:
14.0S / 64.5E, MAX WIND = 75 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS STOPPED AGAIN BUT IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE SLOWLY WESTWARDS.
BEYOND 24 HOURS, IVAN IS FORECASTED TO ACCELERATE ON THIS WESTWARDS TRACK.
IL COULD THEREFORE INTENSIFYING PROGRESSIVELY.