Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
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WTIO20 FMEE 121200 SECURITE STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 12/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 022/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). STORM WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY 12/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 11 (IVAN) 985 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.0S / 64.2E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 250 NM IN THE WESTERN SECTOR. STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 180 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNEDR SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/13 AT 00 UTC: 14.1S / 63.2E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/02/13 AT 12 UTC: 14.1S / 61.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SLOWLY GLOBALLY WESTWARDS OVER THE LAST HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEPS ON TRACKING GLOBALLY WESTWARDS, SLOWLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ACCELERATING BEYOND, AND INTENSIFYING PROGRESSIVELY. BEYOND 48 HOURS, IVAN IS FORECASTED TO RECURVE PROGRESSIVELY SOUTHWESTWARDS.