Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 151200 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 034/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 15/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11 (IVAN) 970 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.6S / 54.7E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 160 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65 KT AND VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/60KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 95 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 110 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 130 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 150 NM IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT AND UP TO 160 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. STRONG GUSTS UNEDR SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/16 AT 00 UTC: 16.0S / 53.3E, MAX WIND = 75 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2008/02/16 AT 12 UTC: 16.8S / 51.8E, MAX WIND = 80 KT, TROPICAL CYCLONE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: IVAN IS INTENSIFYING PROGRESSIVELY. LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TRACK CLOSE TO THE NORTH OF TROMELIN'S ISLAND WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. AT 1200Z, AT TROMELIN MSLP IS 979.6 HPA WITH 10MN WINDS UP TO 51 KT AND GUSTS UP TO 72 KT.