Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 171200 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 042/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY 17/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 11 (EX-IVAN) POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 17.2S / 48.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40 KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS BETWEEN 16S AND 17S ALONG THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE COASTLINE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 15S AND 19S ALONG THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND UP TO 100 NM FROM THE COASTLINE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/18 AT 00 UTC: 17.8S / 47.3E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2008/02/18 AT 12 UTC: 18.5S / 45.7E, MAX WIND = 20 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: IVAN HAS MADE A LANDFALL 100 KM NORTH OF TOAMASINA, IN THE NORTHERN VICINITY OF FENOARIVO CITY AT 0615Z. THE RESIDUAL VORTEX CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARDS OVERLAND, AND SHOULD THEN TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS. THE SYSTEM COULD ENTER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL BEYOND 36 HOURS IF IT DOES NOT COMPLETELY FILL UP OVER MADAGASCAR.