Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 180000 SECURITE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 18/02/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 044/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY 18/02/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: OVERLAND DEPRESSION 11 (EX-IVAN) POSITION: 17.7S / 47.0E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 8 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 300 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 450 NM IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS BETWEEN 17S AND 21S ALONG THE EASTERN MALAGASY COAST AND UP TO 60 NM FROM THE COASTLINE, REACHING LOCALLY GALE FORCE WINDS 35 KT. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/18 AT 12 UTC: 18.8S / 45.3E, OVERLAND. 24H, VALID 2008/02/19 AT 00 UTC: 19.8S / 44.3E, MAX WIND = 15 KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE. OTHER INFORMATIONS: THE RESIDUAL VORTEX CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS OVERLAND, AND SHOULD THEN TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ENTER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL BEYOND 12/24 HOURS IF IT DOES NOT COMPLETELY FILL UP OVER MADAGASCAR. BEYONG TAU36H, REINTENSIFICATION MAY OCCUR OVER WARM SST OF THE CHANEL. THIS IS THE LAST ISSUE OVER THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REINTENSIFICATION.