Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 221200 SECURITE NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 22/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 046/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). NEAR GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 22/02/2008 AT 1200 UTC. PHENOMENON: ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 11 (EX-IVAN) 998 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.8S / 41.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC MOVEMENT: NORTH 3 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS FAR FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 500NM FROM THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN SECTORS. CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 10/20KT, REACHING 25/30KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE FAR FROM THE CENTER, BETWEEN 100NM AND 300NM FROM THE CENTER. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/02/23 AT 00 UTC: 21.5S / 41.1E, MAX WIND = 15 KT, FILLING UP. 24H, VALID 2008/02/23 AT 12 UTC: 23.0S / 41.0E, MAX WIND = 15 KT, FILLING UP. OTHER INFORMATIONS: IVAN'S RESIDUAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION IS BROAD, EXPOSED, POORLY DEFINED AND WIND IS WEAK CLOSE TO THE CENTRE. WINDS 20/25 KT, LOCALLY 30 KT EXIST WITHIN A BELT FAR IN THE SOUTH. MINIMAL SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS LOW, BUT ASSOCIATED GRADIENT IS RATHER WEAK AS ENVIRONMENTAL SEA LEVEL PRESSURES ARE RATHER LOW OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. THIS BROAD CIRCULATION IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TRACK OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, WHITHOUT DEEPENING DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS. THIS IS THE LAST WARNING ISSUED ON THE SYSTEM THAT REMAINS CLOSELY MONITORED.