Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 060600 SECURITE GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 007/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). GALE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY 06/03/2008 AT 0600 UTC. PHENOMENON: MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 12 (JOKWE) 994 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.2S / 48.0E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST) AT 0600 UTC MOVEMENT: SOUTH-WEST 12 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 200 NM IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE, AND BETWEEN 260 NM AND 500 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT WITHIN SOME THUNDERSTRORMY ULTRA-PERIPHERAL BANDS. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/40KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/06 AT 18 UTC: 13.8S / 46.0E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM. 24H, VALID 2008/03/07 AT 06 UTC: 14.1S / 44.8E, MAX WIND = 50 KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM. OTHER INFORMATIONS: LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DISORGANIZED WITHIN THE CROSS OVER NORTHERN MALAGASY RELIEF AND SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED. MICRO-WAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS HOWEVER THAT THE MID AND UPPER-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS KEPT VERY WELL ORGANIZED WITHIN A RATHER FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. SYSTEM COULD THEREFORE GRADUALLY RE-INTENSIFY. IT IS EXPECTED TO TRANSIT SOUTH OF MAYOTTE ISLAND (PROBABLY LESS THAN 80 NM OFFSHORE ) NEXT NIGHT. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TO RECURVE SOUTHWARDS THEREAFTER.