Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO22 FMEE 071800 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S) ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 07/03/2008 AT 1800 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 013/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 07/03/2008 AT 1800 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 12 (JOKWE) 945 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.8S / 42.1E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST) AT 1800 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 220 NM FROM THE CENTER, MAINLY IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/95 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/08 AT 06 UTC: 15.4S / 40.5E, MAX WIND = 110 KT, VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE. 24H, VALID 2008/03/08 AT 18 UTC: 16.4S / 39.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS, JOKWE HAS CAME AGAIN IN A NEW RAPID INTENSIFICATION PHASIS AND HAS REACHED INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE STAGE. THIS INTENSE MIDGET CYCLONE WITH A TINY EYE LESS THAN 10 NM IN DIAMETER REACTS VERY QUICKLY TO THE ENVIRONMENT, AND UNDERGOES THEREFORE RAPID VARIATIONS OF INTENSITY. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARDS ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COASTLINE. LANDFALL ON MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY 08 MORNING BETWEEN THE CITY OF NACALA AND ANGOCHE. MSLP IS HIGHER THAN USUAL FOR THIS INTENSITY STAGE.