Direction Interrégionale de LA REUNION
B.P.4    97491 Ste Clotilde Cedex
Téléphone                02.62.92.11.00
Fax exploitation      02.62.92.11.48
Fax direction           02.62.92.11.47

WTIO24 FMEE 080000 PAN PAN HURRICANE WARNING FOR METAREA VII ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 08/03/2008 AT 0000 UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 014/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN) 10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT) (WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE). HURRICANE WARNING BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SATURDAY 08/03/2008 AT 0000 UTC. PHENOMENON: INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 12 (JOKWE) 930 HPA POSITION: WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.1S / 41.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC MOVEMENT: WEST-SOUTH-WEST 10 KT THREAT AREAS: SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 70 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 150 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND ALSO WITHIN PERIPHERAL BAND BETWEEN 90 NM AND 240 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 65/105 KT AND VERY HIGH TO PHENOMENAL SEAS WITHIN 10 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. STROM FORCE WINDS 50/60 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45KT AND VERY ROUGH TO HIGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER EXTENDING UP TO 50 NM FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS. FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY: 12H, VALID 2008/03/08 AT 12 UTC: 16.0S / 40.0E, MAX WIND = 105 KT, INTENSE TROP. CYCL.. 24H, VALID 2008/03/09 AT 00 UTC: 17.0S / 38.9E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, OVERLAND. OTHER INFORMATIONS: JOKWE KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING BUT WILL PROBABLY SOON INTERACT WITH CONTINENTAL SURFACE. THIS INTENSE MIDGET CYCLONE WITH A TINY EYE (PIN POINT EYE) LESS THAN 10 NM IN DIAMETER REACTS VERY QUICKLY TO THE ENVIRONMENT, AND UNDERGOES THEREFORE RAPID VARIATIONS OF INTENSITY. LANDFALL ON MOZAMBICAN COASTLINE IS EXPECTED THIS SATURDAY BETWEEN 05 AND 09UTC BETWEEN THE ISLAND OF MOCAMBIQUE AND THE CITY OF ANGOCHE. IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE IT COMES BACK OVERSEA ON A WEAK STAGE BUT WITH ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS FAVOURABLE FOR RE-INTENSIFICATION. MSLP IS HIGHER THAN USUAL FOR THIS INTENSITY STAGE.